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Canelo Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga: What the numbers predict our team

.Sep thirteen, 2024, 07:48 AM ETCanelo Alvarez will certainly headline a punching memory card in Sin city for the 18th opportunity when he puts his WBC, WBO as well as WBA super middleweight globe titles on the line against Edgar Berlanga on Sunday evening. The fight memory card at T-Mobile Arena also features Erislandy Lara defending his WBA middleweight label versus Danny Garcia and also a super middleweight struggle between Caleb Plant and also Trevor McCumby for the uninhabited WBA interim title.Alvarez (61-2-2, 39 KOs) has accommodated titles in four branches, featuring the lineal championship at middleweight and also super middleweight. Alvarez ended up being the uncontested incredibly middleweight champ through finishing off Vegetation through 11th-round TKO in November 2021. He made four productive defenses just before the IBF stripped him of the district in July when Alvarez made a decision to face Berlanga as opposed to the IBF's necessary opposition, William Scull.Editor's Picks2 Related" I merely intend to reveal everybody that I'm still the most ideal," Alvarez claimed during the course of Wednesday's news conference in Sin city. "I still adore this sporting activity. When I stop adoring it, you'll recognize. I adore my regimen and also I enjoy going to the health club on a daily basis." Berlanga (22-0, 17 KOs) has actually never fought for a world title. After beginning his profession 16-0, with every one of his triumphes coming in the preliminary, Berlanga has slashed only one halt in his past six victories.Berlanga, a massive longshot (+900 per ESPN WAGER), recognizes he has to do one thing special to defeat Alvarez, among the best fighters in the world." This is the chance of a life time," Berlanga said. "It's gon na be actually a firefight this weekend. ... I am actually gon na make everybody an enthusiast. We have Puerto Rico vs. Mexico and our team are actually differing on Sunday night." Let's take a look at the headline fight due to the numbers, along with records from ESPN Statistics &amp Details and also CompuBox.Canelo AlvarezEdgar Berlanga34Age2761-2-2Record22-039KOs175-foot-7 1/2 u2033 Height6-foot-1" 70 1/2 u2033 inchesReach73 inchesOrthodoxStanceOrthodoxGuadalajara, MexicoBirthplaceBrooklyn, New York-2000: Possibilities for Alvarez to win the fight, per ESPN WAGER.1,582: Complete secs combated by Berlanga in his very first 16 matches as a pro, which all finished in the first round, for approximately 98.9 few seconds every match. The combined document of all 16 opponents at the moment of their battles was actually 175 victories, 67 drops and 15 attracts.4: Successful label defenses through Alvarez as recognized incredibly middleweight champ. He is actually the only man pugilist along with 4 defenses of a recognized label in the four-belt era (due to the fact that 2007). Canelo vs. Berlanga wagering odds21: Victories by Alvarez in world headline battles at 21-2-1, he's the 4th Mexican-born fighter along with 20 or more victories in world label battles. With a succeed on Sunday, he would damage a dead heat with Marco Antonio Barrera for the 3rd most succeeds in planet name matches by a Mexican boxer (Julio Cesar Chavez, 31 Ricardo "Finito" Lopez, 25).11: Unquestioned guys's champs in the modern four-belt time. Along with Alvarez, they are actually: Bernard Hopkins, Jermain Taylor, Terence Crawford, Oleksandr Usyk, Teofimo Lopez, Josh Taylor, George Kambosos Jr., Devin Haney, Jermell Charlo and also Naoya Inoue.ESPN Statistics &amp Information14.7: Blows landed by Alvarez every round out of 41 thrown (35.9%, No. 5 in precision one of champions and also name opponents).4.2: Jabs landed every sphere through Alvarez away from 18.3 (23%).10.5: Energy strikes landed every round by Alvarez out of 22.7 (46.3%), No. 6 one of champions and also title competitors.6.6: Energy blows every around arrived on Alvarez by his opponents (30.1%).12.4: Punches landed through Berlanga every round out of 37.6 thrown (thirty three%).7.6: Electrical power punches landed through Berlanga every round out of 17.8 (42.7%).5.8: Electrical power blows arrived on Berlanga every round by rivals (29.9%). Canelo vs. Berlanga CompuBox Strike Stats ComparisonPunchesCanelo (last 24 battles) Berlanga (last 6 battles) Div. avg.Total avg. tossed every round4137.651.1 Complete avg. landed every round14.712.414.8 Percentage35.9% 33% 29% Human body landed ratio30.5% 21.3% N/AJabs avg. tossed per round18.319.822.3 Jabs avg. landed every round4.24.84.3 Percentage23% 24.2% 19.3% Power avg. tossed every round22.717.828.8 Power avg. landed every round10.57.610.5 Percentage46.3% 42.7% 36.5% ESPN Stats &amp InformationEven though Berlanga was birthed in Brooklyn, New York, his Puerto Rican decline indicates this match joins other significant Mexico-Puerto Rico headline bouts.Notable Mexico vs. Puerto Rico world headline fightsYearMexican fighterPuerto Rican fighterFight resultTitle on the line2015Canelo AlvarezMiguel CottoAlvarez succeeds UD12WBC middleweight1999Felix TrinidadOscar De Los angeles HoyaTrinidad succeeds MD12IBF/WBC welterweight1992Julio Cesar ChavezHector CamachoChavez gains UD12WBC junior welterweight1981Salvador SanchezWilfredo GomezSanchez gains TKO8WBC featherweightIn comparison to Alvarez's champion expertise, Berlanga will certainly be actually defending a globe headline for the very first time in his career. It will be actually a large boost in competitors for Berlanga, that enters into the fight as the No. 5-ranked tremendously middleweight, according to ESPN.Canelo Alvarez vs. new label challengerYearOpponentLocationResult2024Edgar BerlangaT-Mobile Field, Sin City? 2012Josesito LopezMGM Grand, Grand Yard Arena, Las VegasWon by TKO52011Matthew HattonHonda Facility, Anaheim, CaliforniaWon by UDDefeated a specific world champion in initial major title battle (Final 30 Years) YearOpponentChampion at the timeResult2021George Kambosos Jr.Teofimo LopezSD122015Tyson FuryWladimir KlitschkoUD122007David HayeJean-Marc MormeckTKO72007Kelly PavlikJermain TaylorTKO72005Jermain TaylorBernard HopkinsSD122001Hasim RahmanLennox LewisKO5Berlanga: faces combined extremely middleweight champ Canelo Alvarez in initial major label battle on SaturdayCanelo will be actually creating his eighth defense of a minimum of one very middleweight headline. He's currently a -2000 preferred to win (every ESPN WAGER), which will tie for his 2nd fastest chances to win an extremely middleweight label fight.Canelo Alvarez least odds in super middleweight label fightsYearOpponentOddsFight result2021Avni Yildirim-6000Third-round TKO2023John Ryder-2000Unanimous decision2018Rocky Fielding-1600Third-round TKO2021Caleb Plant-100011th-round TKO u2022 Alvarez presently a -2000 preferred vs. Berlanga (Per ESPN BET) In their own phrases-- coming from Wednesday's ultimate press conference in Las VegasBerlanga on what the match against Alvarez suggests to him: "It implies whatever to be in this particular setting. I'm certainly not meant to be here. I have actually been actually questioned considering that before I transformed expert. However I understood that I was actually bound to wind up in this particular posture." I could be the face of Puerto Rican punching after Saturday evening. I've really wanted that for years and also currently it's my look to perform it." Berlanga on his approach in advance of the fight: "I'm a knockout artist. Every boxer wants the knockout blow. We know that he is actually a legend as well as we can't merely go swing for the fences. Our team need to perform it the proper way. Sixth-round ko, that's what we're going for. However we're ready for all 12 spheres if our team need to." Alvarez on his goal to seek the KO: "It is actually simple to say you'll take me out, yet it is actually a lot more complicated to do it. Saturday night is gon na be actually incredibly difficult for him, for sure. I've planned for the ko. I like the sensation of a knockout and also I am actually gon na do my absolute best to receive it performed." I always put 100 percent in to my matches and right into training, despite that I'm combating. It coincides mindset every match. This is actually no exemption. I've had a great training school and also I prepare." Alvarez on combating on Mexican Freedom Day weekend break: "It's an honor to combat on this day. Mexican Freedom Time is really vital for our company. It's very special and I'm extremely pleased to fight for the Mexican folks." The fans suggest every thing to me and also I value all of them. They sustain me regardless of what and also I am actually grateful for everybody that's supported me throughout my career.".